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March/April
1998
Issue No. 98-2
Bold, difficult
reforms forerunner to market economy
China's
annual National People's Congress (NPC) has historically been
uneventful ?a ceremony simply held to endorse and rubber stamp
the government's policies. This year, however, things were a little
different. It was no surprise that President Jiang Zemin was re-elected
to another term, that Zhu Rongji was elevated to Premier of the
State Council, and that outgoing Premier Li Peng will take over
Qiao Shi as Chairman of the NPC. But the appointment of the youngest
Central Committee member, 55-year-old Hu Jintao, as Vice-President
was surprising to many. Popular belief has it that Hu is being
groomed for the position of fourth generation Chinese leader.
Of
major interest to Canadian businesses seeking or strengthening
relations with China, is NPC's approval of Zhu's radical reform
programs, which are seen as the hardest and boldest since China's
world opening 20 years ago. Three major reforms are summarized
below.
To
streamline the government by slashing 4 million bureaucrats in
three years.
This
reform will do more than improve the government's efficiency and
reduce bureaucracy. An important new characteristic will lend
itself to the State Council as Zhu strategically retains those
with economic leadership experience. The number of State Council
vice-premiers will be reduced to four from six. Of the four vice-premiers,
two have prior economic experience. The number of ministries will
be reduced from 40 to 29. Of the 29 ministers, 10 have previous
economic experience and three were former provincial leaders.
Overall, one-third of the State Council members will be dismissed.
Those who remain are the cream of China's technocracy and are
considered likelier to achieve the difficult tasks that lay ahead.
To
reform China's state-owned enterprises and financial systems
China
will inject US$32 billion to recapitalize China's state banks.
This large capital injection is intended to be used to write-off
bad loans and to accelerate reform of state-owned-enterprises
(SOEs). Making progress with its banking infrastructure reform
is also expected to encourage foreign investment in China. Foreign
investments not only help China shorten the process of reviving
its money-losing SOEs, they also present great opportunities for
foreign companies to enter the Chinese market.
Here
are two recent encouraging signs: Eastman Kodak has just
been allowed to take over a large stake of three failing state-owned
film manufacturers from the Chinese government in return for access
to the country's large and promising market. Kodak will invest
US$1 billion in China over the next three years, including the
initial US$380 million purchase of Xiamen Fuda Photographic Materials
Co., Shantou Era Photo Materials Industry Corp., and Wuxi Aermei
Film & Chemical Corp. After eight long years of negotiations
without much progress, Royal Dutch/Shell recently received
approval to form a US$4.5 billion joint venture to build a petrochemical
plant in China.
To
boost domestic demand
China
is taking the tough route to a faster Asian economic recovery
by boosting domestic demand to fuel the economy rather than relying
on exports, which are expected to grow slowly due to recent Asian
turmoil. China is proceeding cautiously in order that it does
not compete directly with its Asian neighbours and to avoid another
round of devaluation around the region. The government will invest
US$350 billion in apartment buildings and US$750 billion in new
utilities and transportation facilities over the next three years.
It will also enable the participation of more foreign investors,
especially in build-operate-transfer infrastructure projects.
The government hopes to create as many jobs as possible to absorb
the laid-off workers and cadets of SOEs and government ministries.
People are encouraged to buy their own homes and the government
will end the allocation of subsidized housing to its employees.
On March 25, 1998, China also announced an interest rate cut to
help its enterprises and to stimulate the economy.
With
20 years of economic growth at its back, the collective personal
savings of China's citizens stand at more than US$560 billion.
As banking reform progresses and a more structured secondary financial
market is established, it is hoped these vast savings will be
put to better use to stimulate the economy. In the interim, the
government will encourage large enterprises to issue corporate
bonds to finance their growth.
Apart
from the three major reforms, Congress also approved implementing
reforms in five other areas: grain supply; investment and financing;
housing; health care; and taxation. Congress endorsed Zhu's proposal
to "rejuvenate the nation by promoting science and education"
as a strategy to foster China's long term development.
Along
with these badly-needed reforms, will come much suffering. The
closure of SOEs and significant government downsizing is likely
to lead to social unrest. While many admire the new Chinese government's
determination to proceed with tough reforms, it is hoped the government
also seeks to minimize the risks associated with the reforms.
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INTERESTIN
G FACTS AND FIGURES
David
Copperfield hopes to make the 367-metre, 70-storey Bank
of China (BoC) Tower in Hong Kong, a creation of American-Chinese
architect I.M. Pei, disappear under his hi-tech magic touch.
The dangerous but entertaining moment is expected to be staged
during the Chinese New Year in 1999. This magic performance will
cost up to HK$40 million and involve over 100 workers as well
as the cooperation of Hong Kong's traffic department. Apart from
installing special lighting and scaffolding, the event will require
covering the entire building with fabrics before the performance.
At the moment, the event is still subject to BoC approval and
cooperation.
n
On March 25, 1998, China cut its deposit rates by an average of
0.16% and lending rates by an average of 0.6%. The moves come
as the country's retail price index, the benchmark inflation measure,
fell by 1.9% in February from a year earlier ?the fifth consecutive
monthly drop. China's bank reserve ratios were also lowered to
8% from 13%. This cut will free funds for China's state banks
to purchase a US$32 billion special treasury bond issue in order
to lift their capital adequacy ratio to 8%, the minimum rate considered
healthy by international standards.
n
Beijing Founder SunTendy Software Technology Ltd. (BFST),
a Chinese software publisher, has filed in the United States for
at least US$5 million in compensation against Alestron Inc.,
a New York company, for an alleged copyright infringement. BFST
is the first Chinese information company to seek damage in a foreign
court. It claims Alestron registered itself on the Internet under
a web site name that is similar to BFST's Chinese Star software
brand name, a trademark worth US$140 million.
n
China has replaced Belgium/Luxembourg as the world's tenth largest
trading nation with total 1997 import/export volumes of US$325
billion. Hong Kong ranked seventh with US$397 billion and Taiwan
ranked 14th with US$232 billion. The remaining top 10 ranks were:
U.S. (1), Germany (2), Japan (3), U.K. (4), France (5), Italy
(6), Canada (8), and the Netherlands (9).
n
Despite Asian turmoil, China's exports continue to rise. In the
first two months of 1998, exports reached US$24.83 billion, up
15.7% from the same period last year. Imports reached US$17.69
billion, amounting to a trade surplus of US$7.1 billion ?nearly
double last year's amount. Exports jumped 24.4% to the U.S. and
35.9% to the European Union, which more than offset a 20.5% drop
in shipments to Korea and zero growth to Southeast Asia.
n
China's total population at the end of 1997 was 1.24 billion,
a net increase of 12.37 million people from the year before. In
1997, 20.38 million babies were born in China and more than 80
million people were over 65 years. Currently, 866.37 million (70.08%)
live in rural areas and 369.89 million (29.92%) live in urban
cities. The urban population has increased 0.55% since 1996.
n
One-quarter of the world's poor lived in China 20 years ago. According
to The China Daily, the number of impoverished people in
China has dropped from 250 million in 1978 to 50 million in 1997.
Today, one-twentieth of the world's poor reside in China.
n
About 150 people dialled the new consumer complaint hotline run
by the Beijing Administration for Industry and Commerce during
the first three hours of its March 12, 1998 launch. To date, more
than 30 cities in 14 provinces and regions have opened similar
hotlines. The government has mobilized 36,000 local industry and
commerce offices across China to crack down on illegal business
activities. Last year, the administration heard about 47,000 consumer
rights infringement cases, double the previous year's cases, and
recovered 296 million yuan (US$35.66 million) in compensation
for consumers. Most disputes were related to counterfeit commodities,
substandard quality and misleading advertisements.
n
The largest share transfer in China's IT industry recently took
place when Tontru Information Industry Group, the third
domestic PC maker based in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, recently
agreed to buy 10% of the stake of Shenzhen Rayes Group,
a large on-line information services firm, for US$36.14 million.
Tontru sold 300,000 PCs last year and cornered 6.6% of the domestic
market in China. Though smaller than domestic rivals such as Legend,
Tontru is leading the way in its ambition to become China's Compaq.
Tontru and Rayes will jointly develop a dial-up network on-line
information service in 108 cities in China. By providing access
to Internet resources via telephone lines, they will target computerless
customers and those with few computer skills.
n
Effective Jan. 1, 1998, China lowered the price of 22 charges
collected by 13 different departments, according to a joint notice
of the State Planning Commission and the Ministry of
Finance. Among the lowered charges, commission charges on
customs control of tax-free commodities have been lowered from
2% to 1.5% of C.I.F. prices. Quarantine inspection charges by
the public health department at the border on small batches of
imported foodstuffs are reduced from 6% to 5% of the import value.
Inspection department charges for examining the quality of imported
or exported chemical fertilizers are reduced to 2% from 2.5% of
the total value of the commodities. Bar code service and film
master research and manufacturing fees are reduced from 60 yuan
to 48 yuan.
n
One-sixth of Beijing people now commute to work by taxis or privately-owned
cars, although the majority still commute by bike or bus, according
to a recent survey conducted by a private consulting firm. Taxi
riders are mainly high salary employees of foreign enterprises.
Of note, company buses account for 11.3% of commuting methods
because many companies are buying or leasing buses as an employee
incentive and fringe benefit.
n
About 30% of China's population are overweight, according to a
recent survey by Nanjing Medical University of men and
women over 20 years. The survey categorized 15% as "fat"
and another 15% as "fat-to-be". The survey also found
that 16 to 17% of the country's urban population are overweight.
GOVERNMENT
China's
plans to restore some investment incentives (first mentioned in
Express China News Issue No. 97-5) for foreign-funded projects
that are taking root. China has officially announced that effective
Jan. 1, 1998, foreign investment projects within its "Encouraged"
and "Restricted B" categories of industry sector lists
are entitled, upon approval, to import capital equipment itemized
in HS tariff chapters 84-90 as duty and VAT-free. Exceptions of
consumer items and office equipment are listed. To qualify for the
duty/VAT-free treatment, investors must apply for special certification.
Projects approved between March 31, 1996, and Dec. 31, 1997 are
eligible.
n
After consulting and planning for three years, China recently
approved an unprecedented government overhaul during its National
People's Congress meeting in Beijing. The change will effectively
halve eight million officials to four million. Relocating and/or
retraining government officials is expected to be completed
in three years. Fifteen of 40 ministries will be eliminated,
while four new ministries will be created, for a total of 29.
The 15 ministries to be eliminated are:
1.
Metallurgical Industries
2.
Power
3.
Coal
4.
Machinery
5.
Electronic Industries
6.
Chemical Industries
7.
Internal Trade
8.
Posts and Telecommunications
9.
Labor
10.
Radio, Film and Television
11.
Geology and Mineral Resources
12.
Forest
13.
Sports Commission
14.
Defense Science and Technology Commission
15.
State Commission for Restructuring Economic Systems.
The
four ministry additions are:
1.
Commission for Science, Technology and Industry for National
Defence
2.
Information Industry (a combination of the previous Posts
and Telecommunications and Electronic Industries ministries
as well as major broadcasting networks)
3.
Labour & Social Security
4.
Ministry of Land and Resources.
As
well, three government bodies will be renamed. The State Planning
Commission will be renamed Development Planning Commission.
The Science and Technology Commission will become the Ministry
of Science and Technology . The Education Commission will
be called the Education Ministry.
AGRICULTU
RE, FOOD AND FORESTRY
Bank
of China will delay its push to restructure and build an integrated
Wall Street-style investment bank a few months to June 1998 so
that it can hire more bankers and strengthen its risk management
program. The plan includes establishing the Bank of China International
in Hong Kong for the purposes of investment banking, which is
now mainly based in Asia and Europe. BoC's restructuring plan
includes merging China Development Finance Co., its wholly-owned
investment bank, Bank of China Group Securities, its brokerage
arm, China Development Investment Management Ltd., and
Bank of China Group Investments, which controls direct
investments.
n
Solomon Smith Barney's Smith Barney Inc. unit in Taipei
recently obtained a license from the Taiwan Securities and Futures
Commission to trade in specified off-shore securities, including
stocks, government bonds, corporate bonds and listed mutual funds.
n
The New York-based boutique investment bank, Duke & Co.,
recently formed a joint venture with China Liaoning Securities
Co. in Beijing. To be named Duke Liaoning Investment Consulting
Co., the new venture will provide investment and consulting
services to assist in the reorganization, listing and merging
of Chinese state-owned enterprises, and will support Chinese enterprises
in raising funds in the U.S. capital markets.
n
China recently launched two securities investment funds to lure
the country's massive savings into the stock market and to help
reform state-owned enterprises. The Industrial and Commerce
Bank will act as trustee of the new Kaiyuan and Jintai funds,
each of which are worth 2 billion yuan (US$240 million) and will
mature in 15 years. Kaiyuan will be listed in Shanzhen while Jintai
will be listed in Shanghai.
n
Sun Life of Canada (SL), which first came to China in 1892,
re-entered China in 1995 by establishing a representative office
in Beijing. Last year, John McNeil, Chairman and CEO of SL, announced
a donation of US$1 million to build the Wanxian Sino-Canadian
Friendship School in Chongqing to be opened in 1999. This 1,200-student
primary school will be tuition-free and will be equipped with
modern facilities such as a computer centre, a gymnasium, science
labs and language labs. The donation will also go to the Canada-China
Child Health Foundation to build children's medical clinics in
Chongqing and Ningxia, China's developing areas.
n
The Shanghai government will issue 500 million yuan (US$60.2 million)
of bonds to help finance the construction of the city's second
subway line, Metro Line Two. The 5-year bonds are redeemable after
three or five years at an annual 8% to 9% interest. The US$1.2
billion project will also be financed in part by foreign government
loans.
n
Hainan Airlines, a Chinese regional airline that is 21.3%
owned by U.S. financier George Soros, recently obtained
a US$11 million syndicated loan from France's Banque de l'Indochine
et de Suez, Banca Commerciale Italiana and the Shanghai
branch of Hua-Xia Bank of China. The lead manager is Shanghai
Joint Financial Co. Hainan borrowed 6.5 billion yuan from
the Bank of China last year to buy 10 aircrafts.
n
Reliance National (RN), a unit of New York-based Reliance
Group Holding, recently acquired a 50% stake in Hong Kong
Chinese Insurance Co., a general insurance company that is
also 50% owned by the Hong Kong Chinese Bank, a joint venture
of the Lippo Group and China Resources. The company will be renamed
Lippo Reliance Insurance Co. RN also signed a cooperative
agreement earlier this year with China's Huatai Insurance Co.
n
Standard Life of the U.K. recently opened an office in
Beijing, its second office in China after Shanghai, which was
opened in 1996. WIH Winterthur Interational Holding, an
Australian insurance company, recently won approval to open a
representative office in Beijing too. WIH's main shareholder,
Winterthur Swiss Insurance Co., obtained a license in 1996
to conduct non-life insurance business in Shanghai.
n
Unibank A/S, Denmark's second largest bank, expects to
open a representative office in Shanghai next year to sell services
to Nordic companies doing business in China, such as Swedish car
maker Volvo AB and ball bearings maker SKF AB.
Aegon NV, one of the world's top 10 insurers, was also granted
a license recently to set up an office in Beijing.
n
Chinese banks based in Shanghai's Pudong development zone will
offer foreign currency services to non-resident individuals and
companies. Services will include foreign currency savings and
lending, international payments, foreign currency guarantees,
interbank lending, and issuance of deposit certificates.
CONSUMER
/ RETAIL MARKETS
Amway
Corp. plans to build its second manufacturing plant for US$30
million in Shanghai. Amway now boasts 80,000 distributors in 37
Chinese cities. Its 1997 sales amounted to US$178 million, up
80% from 1996. The company expects China will become its third
largest market, behind North America and Japan.
n
China's first condom joint venture, Qingdao London International
Latex Co., Shandong province, was recently formed by London
International Group plc,
manufacturer of the Durex brand condom, and China's Qingdao
Latex Co. (QLC). At present, seven domestic condom producers,
including QLC, supply more than 90% of China's condom market.
China's annual condom output amounts to 1.2 billion and has traditionally
been dominated by the government free supply program. However,
it is expected that as income levels rise, Chinese consumers will
begin to make informed contraceptive choices, expanding the retail
condom market as is the trend in cities such as Shanghai and Beijing.
n
Tully's Coffee, Seattle's second largest specialty coffee
retailer, recently opened three stores in Beijing, including a
flagship store located in the new Full Link Plaza, a mixed use
retail/high rise office/condominium project of 2.4 million sq.ft.
The other two stores are located in the East Ocean Centre office
complex and the Cofco Plaza, also a mixed use retail/high rise
office/condominium. Tully's will open another three stores in
Beijing by May of this year.
HEALTH
CARE
In
addition to recently winning contracts worth 12 million guilders
to supply advanced equipment to two hospitals in Beijing and
Shanghai, Philips Electronic NV of the Netherlands, won
a 34 million guilder contract (US$16.6 million) to modernize
80 hospitals in China's Jiangsu province, which has a population
of 70 million. The contract includes training employees and
equipment maintenance.
n
Daiichi Pharmaceutical, Japan's leading ethical drugs
producer, will strengthen its operations in China by consolidating
all China-related departments into the newly established China
Operations Promotion Office. Daiichi will also establish a joint
venture production centre in China. It plans to develop and
market various products centered around synthetic antibacterial
agents and central nervous system transmission agents. The company
aims to double its current sales in China to 10 billion yen
by 2000.
n
Rhone-Poulenc Rorer, a unit of Rhone-Poulenc SA,
recently received approval from China to market its Taxotere
product for the treatment of advanced metastatic breast cancer
and non-small-cell lung cancer.
n
The Nasdaq-listed Quintiles Transnational Corp . (QTC)
opened an office in Shanghai in late January 1998, following
the opening of offices in Hong Kong and Beijing in 1997. QTC
recently formed strategic alliances with three leading Chinese
medical centres: Peking Union Medical Colledge, for collaboration
in clinical trial services, and Shanghai and Beijing medical
universities for the provision of Good Clinical Practice training
to staff and students and general collaboration in conducting
clinical research.
n
The bird-flu virus that killed six people in Hong Kong and set
off a mass killing of chickens and other poultry can now be
reliably detected by the new ZStatFlu influenza test, according
to the Center for Disease Control, Atlanta, of the U.S. The
ZStatFlu test is a product discovered and developed by ZymeTx,
a Nasdaq-listed biotech company that focuses on the diagnosis
and treatment of viruses.
n
With duty free shops across Canada, Asia Development Enterprises
(ADE), a unit of UTD Inc. that specializes in the distribution
of cosmetics, fragrances and consumer care products, has agreed
to distribute all products of U.S.-based EROX Corporation
through ADE's distribution channels in China. EROX's products
include fragrances and toiletries sold under the REALM,
inner REALM and EROX trademarks.
MANUFACTU
RING
Wuxi
Little Swan Co., China's largest automatic washing machine
maker, will form a US$29.8 million joint venture with Italy's
Merloni Elettrodomestici SpA to produce dishwashers in
China. The joint venture ownership will be split 75:25 by Wuxi
and Merloni respectively.
n
Dell Computer Corp. will open its first factory in Xiamen,
Fujian province, across the strait from Taiwan, to produce PCs,
notebook computers and servers. The US$30 million investment is
expected to be operating by August 1998 and will initially employ
about 200 staff. Dell, the world's number three computer maker,
ranked ninth in Asian sales at the end of 1997, up from its 32nd
placed ranking of three years previous. Dell's Asia sales increased
79% in the fourth quarter of 1997 to US$240 million ?most of
which were made in China and Australia, countries not hit by recent
Asian turmoil.
n
Due to increased demand, Acer Peripherals Inc ., the world's
fifth largest manufacturer of computer monitors, which is 40%
owned by Taiwanese computer maker Acer Inc., expects to
increase production by 50% from 4 million monitors produced last
year to 6 million in 1998. Most of the production increase will
come from its plant in Suzhou, China. Taiwan is the world's largest
manufacturer of computer monitors and third largest manufacturer
of computer equipment.
n
Deutz AG of Germany recently formed a 50:50 joint venture
with China's Weifang Diesel Engine Works to produce for
the Chinese market the high-speed, water-cooled Deutz model 226
diesel-engine for installation in generators and other heavy equipment.
Production will begin this year and full output capacity will
reach 25,000 engines each year up to 2002. Another German company,
Degussa, the top manufacturer of cyanuric chloride with
40% of the world's market and number two in the world in sodium
cyanide manufacturing, recently conducted a feasibility study
of building a DM 1 billion specialty chemicals complex in China.
Degussa's proprietary technology process for producing methionine
from hydrogen cyanide would be used.
n
General Motors' Delphi Automotive Systems unit recently
made two significant transactions in China. First, it bought the
49% stake of its Chinese partners in the Beijing Wan Yuan-GM
Automotive Electronic Control Ltd. joint venture and
renamed it Beijing Delphi Automotive Systems Co. Electric
fuel pump production in China is expected to begin later this
year. Second, it formed the joint venture Shanghai Delphi Automotive
Air Conditioning Systems Co. with Shanghai Automotive Air
Conditioner Factory to make air conditioning modules and heat
exchangers.
n
Dongfeng-Citroen Automotive Corp ., a joint venture between
France's PSA Peugeot Citroen and China's Dongfeng Motors,
plans to double its Wuhan plant production to 60,000 cars this
year, mainly 4-door sedans, in order to reach economies of scale.
Meanwhile, Germany's Volkswagen AG cut prices by 20,000
yuan on its Santana and Jetta models to boost slowing sales growth
and to maintain its 50%-plus share of China's car market. PSA's
other venture in Guangdong province was bought by Japan's Honda
Motors last year.
n
NACCO Materials Handling Group (NMHG), a unit of the New
York-listed NACCO Industries, recently set up a joint venture
with Shanghai Perfect, a Chinese land developer, and
Sumitomo-NACCO, NMHG's long-time Japanese partner, to manufacture
lift trucks in China for sale in China. The partners have purchased
land in Pudong, Shanghai to build the manufacturing plant. Production
of Hyster (R) large and medium capacity diesel lift trucks
is expected to begin by the second quarter of 1999. NMHG owns
55% of the joint venture at an initial investment of US$13.5 million.
n
The New York-listed TRW Inc . recently formed a joint venture
with Ningbo Yong Xing Automobile Parts Co. to produce automotive
fasteners and plastic injection-molded components in Ningbo, Zhejiang
province. TRW will own 70% of the joint venture. This is TRW's
third joint venture in China; the others are a seat-belt plant
in Shanghai and the manufacturing of automotive switches in Suzhou.
n
Boeing Co. and Hexcel Corp. of the U.S. recently
formed a joint venture with China's General Company of Aeronautics
Industry to manufacture composite airplane components in Tianjin.
Production will begin within two years. The products will be shipped
to Hexcel's facility in Washington for final assembly, inspection
and shipment to Boeing and other customers worldwide.
MEDIA
AND COMMUNICA TIONS
The
U.S. magazine Newsweek debuted its first Chinese
edition the week of March 6, 1998 with an 88-page special issue
"Your Child: From Birth to Three." The issue will remain
on newstands for three months in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Malaysia,
Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand and will be printed in both simplified
and traditional Chinese characters. Johnson and Johnson
is the exclusive advertiser for the edition with 23 pages of corporate
and product ads.
n
Internetworld , a monthly magazine published by
the International Data Group (IDG) of the U.S., was launched
in China this March in partnership with the Institute of Science
& Technology Information (ISTI). The new magazine is IDG's
17th computer publication in China, its third largest market in
the world. IDG estimates that China's total IT market will reach
US$21.5 billion by 2002, up from US$7.3 billion in 1997. IDG's
most popular computer weekly publication, the 288-page China
Computerworld, which is also jointly produced with ISTI,
has 70% ads, 150,000 paid subscribers and 2 million readers.
n
Dentsu Inc. of Japan recently established a 50:50 advertising
joint venture with an undisclosed local company in Shanghai. The
venture will be capitalized at US$500,000 and will focus on promoting
Japanese business in China.
MINING
AND RESOURCES
Global-Pacific
Minerals Inc. and Southwestern Gold Corporation, both
of Canada, recently formed the joint venture Black Dragon Mining
Co. with a subsidiary of China's Ministry of Geology and Mineral
Resources. The new company will explore four large blocks of land
in Heilongjiang province, totalling about 4,000 sq. km, that contain
numerous gold prospects. The two Canadian companies also recently
established the Inner Mongolia Huadi Mining Co. joint venture
with Hohhot City Changdi Technology Development Industry Co
., a unit of Inner Mongolia Geological Exploration Bureau, to
explore 1,345 sq. km of inner Mongolia's main gold belt located
650 km northwest of Beijing.
n
The largest sino-foreign joint venture to date was recently signed
by the Royal Dutch/Shell Group (Shell) with China National
Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC) in a US$4.5 billion agreement to
build a petrochemical plant in Nanhai, Guangdong province. Shell
will own 50% of the venture, CNOOC will own 40%, and two other
Chinese partners, the Guangdong Investment and Development
Co . and the China Merchants Holdings Co., will each
own 5%. Total investment may be further increased to US$6 billion.
Beginning later this year, Shell will lead construction of an
800,000 ton per year ethylene plant and five plants producing
polypropylene and other petroleum-based chemicals, which are expected
to be completed by 2003. China plans to increase capacity for
cracking ethylene, a key raw material in plastics, from the current
production of 3.94 million tons a year to 5 million tons a year
by 2000 and up to 10 million tons a year by 2010.
n
The initial phase of the first privately-run ethylene refinery
centre in Taiwan will be completed in Mailiao this May by Formosa
Plastic Corp. (FPC). The new petrochemical complex will have
an ethylene processing capacity of 450,000 t/y. The second phase,
to have an ethylene capacity of 900,000 t/y, is scheduled for
construction in 2000. FPC recently completed a 240,000 t/y high-density
polyethylene (HDPE) plant in Mailiao. Taiwan's HDPE consumption
in 1996 was about 300,000 tons; the shortfall was made up with
imports. With the increased capacity of the new centre, Taiwan
will suddenly become an ethylene exporter country. FPC is eyeing
the Chinese market.
n
Monde Group of the U.S. recently signed a US$325 million
contract with China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) to
apply new technology and drilling techniques in five sections
of the Zhongyuan Oil Field in Henan province to improve
production of 800 wells. According to CNPC, Husky Oil of
Canada will also invest at least US$18 million to boost the recovery
rate in the Zhongyuan field. Currently, there are 4,500 wells
in the Zhongyuan field that produce 90,000 barrels of oil a day,
down from a peak of 150,000 barrels in 1989.
POWER
/ UTILITY / INFRASTRU CTURE PROJECTS
Huaneng
Power International Inc., listed both in New York and Hong
Kong, is China's largest independent power producer with an installed
capacity of 5,300 MW. It recently announced approval of its project
proposal for the Huaneng Shanghai Shidongkou Second Power Plant
Phase Two Expansion by China's State Council. The project
will consist of two supercritical coal-fired units with an installed
capacity of 600 MW per unit. The company has successfully raised
US$140 million to finance the project with the recent issuance
of 250 million shares.
n
Five consortia including New World Infrastructure of Hong
Kong, Compagnie General Des Eaux Group of France, Kvaerner
ASA of Norway, Enron Corp. of the U.S. and Mitsubishi
Corp. of Japan are bidding against each other for China's
first urban water supply project in southeast China's Chengdu
city. The US$100 million project is to be financed on a build-operate-transfer
basis for 18 years.
n
Fujitsu General Ltd. of Japan recently received an order
for 120 plasma display panels (PDPs) for a railway linking Hong
Kong with its new airport. The PDPs, which will display flight
arrivals and departures, will be located at station entrances
and exits, and near check-in counters.
n
In mid-March, Foster Wheeler Energia, SA (FWESA), of Madrid,
Spain, a unit of Foster Wheeler Energy International Inc.
of the U.S., received a Notice to Proceed on a US$72 million contract
with Bechtel Overseas Corp. for two 365 MW bituminous coal-fired
boilers and auxiliaries for a power plant in Meizhouwan, near
Putian, Fujian province. FWESA will supply the plant with boilers,
including coal feeders and pulverizers, coal burners with oil
igniters, an air/flue gas duct system including fans/air heaters,
and HP/LP turbine bypass valves. The plant is owned and operated
by Fujian Pacific Electric Co. Ltd., a wholly owned foreign
enterprise in China.
REAL
ESTATE/CONSTRUCTION
Industrial
and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), one of China's state
banks, announced in mid-March that it will treble mortgage lendings
to 24.5 billion yuan this year to support the housing industry
and to fuel domestic economic growth. Ten days before ICBC's announcement,
China Construction Bank (CCB) also announced that it will
double its housing loans to 30 billion yuan this year. ICBC and
CCB extended 8 billion and 16 billion yuan respectively in housing
loans last year.
n
China is soon expected to announce amended home mortgage rules,
including the extension of repayment periods to 20 years, and
to allow more banks to offer mortgage loans. A comprehensive policy
is to be announced in mid 1998, allowing people to buy and sell
their homes freely. Private-sector property developers will be
offered incentives to build more affordable housing with low-interest
mortgage loans. China also plans to end the allocation of inexpensive,
government-subsidized apartments during the second half of 1998
and to support a sell-off of housing that has already been allocated.
n
Core Pacific Group, one of Taiwan's largest property developers,
expects the island's largest shopping mall with 12 floors above
ground and seven underground, to be completed in 2001. The US$750
million mall, of which Core Pacific has a controlling stake, may
trigger price hikes near downtown Taipei.
n
An average of 10 property management companies have opened each
week in Shanghai since 1996. Currently, about 1,960 of these companies
manage properties covering 120 million square metres, or about
half of the city's total available housing.
n
Two Canadian property developers, Law Development and
Concord Pacific, both owned by Chinese entrepreneurs, are
planning to file for a listing with the Toronto Stock Exchange
this year.
n
Inax Corp and Itochu Corp., both of Japan, established
a US$9.5 million, 200-staff plant in Suzhou to manufacture and
sell luxury tiles. The plant can produce 2 million square meters
of tile per year, of which 80% are targeted for the Chinese market
and the remaining for the Japanese market.
TECHNOLOGY
AND TELECOMM UNICATIONS
Ericsson,
the Swedish telecommunications giant, recently said it will
pay between US$7 million and US$12 million to licence Zi
Corp. of Canada's technology for the next two years in order
to market a device to enter Chinese text into a cellphone. This
will enable users to compose e-mail in Chinese characters using
a standard keypad. With about a 30% market share, China is Ericsson's
second largest cellphone market after the U.S. It is estimated
that about 12 to 14 million cellphones will be sold in China
this year. Other cellphone makers are expected to match Ericsson's
product with Zi's technology feature.
n
Northern Telecom of Canada recently won two major contracts
in China. The first contract, valued at US$27 million, is to
expand Zhejiang Unicom's GSM digital cellular telephone network
in Hangzhou, Wenzhou and to add coverage in Shaoxing. This expansion
will increase the capacity of Zhejiang's GSM network by 130,000
subscribers by mid 1998. The second contract, valued at US$24
million, is to expand and upgrade the intelligent network-based
system of SUNDAY, a personal mobile communications services
company in Hong Kong, and to add more radio equipment.
n
Newbridge Networks Corp. (NNC) of Canada recently won
two contracts in China. The first contract is to supply and
install equipment for a broadband multiservices network in Hunan
province. The network will enable the Hunan Provincial Telecommunications
Authority to generate flexible rate and traffic-based billing
files and to track network performance for frame relay customers.
The second contract, valued at US$32 million, is to expand and
upgrade Guangdong Provincial Telecommunications Authority's
existing Newbridge narrowband digital data network (DDN).
n
Intel Corp. and Pacific Century Group, owned by
Richard Li, the younger son of Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing,
formed the 40:60 joint venture Pacific Convergence Corp.
to provide Asia with high-speed access to the Internet using
satellites. Existing phone lines are scarce in Asia; high-speed
data access will be more feasible and efficient using satellites.
n
Energy Research Corp. (ERC) of the U.S. recently signed
a license agreement with two partners, the Formosa Plastics
Group of Taiwan and the City of Xiamen, Fujian province
of China, to use ERC's environmentally friendly nickel-zinc
battery technology for electric and hybrid electric vehicles.
Under the agreement, ERC will receive US$5 million in licensing
fees and royalties on each nickel-zinc battery produced and
sold. The agreement also grants ERC an option to acquire an
equity interest in a new joint venture battery company that
will produce and sell the batteries in China, Taiwan and 10
other Southeast Asian countries. The Xiamen government plans
to utilize ERC's battery to power its many city fleet vehicles,
such as taxicabs and postal delivery vehicles.
n
Huntington Environmental Systems Inc ., a unit of the
Nasdaq-listed MPM Technologies Inc., reached an agreement
earlier this year with CNTIC Trading Co. of Beijing to exclusively
represent Huntington in marketing, sales, site design, engineering,
and installation and to provide technical assistance of its
Regenerative Thermal Oxidizer system and related air pollution
control equipment throughout China.
n
Symbol Technologies Inc. (STI) of the U.S. said its PDF417
two-dimensional bar code symbology was recently approved as
China's national standard. This advanced data-storage technology
can encode a kilobyte of data in a single machine-readable symbol
printed on paper. Data, which may consist of text, photographs,
voice prints, fingerprints, biometric signatures or a computer
program, is carried in a symbol the same size as a regular bar
code. The entire data file is stored in the symbol, compared
to the traditional bar code that simply functions as "keys"
to access external databases. STI wishes to promote its services
to both government and private organizations in China for identification
cards and drivers' licenses and for manufacturing and transportation
logistics.
n
America Online Inc . (AOL) recently announced its agreement
with China Internet Corp., a unit of China's Xinhua
News Agency, to offer Internet services, including a combination
of on-line commerce and content, in Hong Kong by next year.
n
Nasdaq-listed CellStar Corp . will be the sole supplier
of Motorola cellphones and accessories to all sales branches
of the Beijing Radio Telecommunications Bureau, according
to a recently signed agreement. CellStar will operate the Motorola
branded sales outlets for the Bureau. Sales from these outlets
presently account for about 30% of Beijing's cellphone market.
Earlier, Nokia had appointed CellStar as its authorized
China distributor of cellphones and accessories produced by
Beijing Nokia Mobile Telecommunications Ltd, a joint
venture between Nokia and Beijing Telecommunications Equipment
Factory 506. Nokia recently extended its agreement with
Nasdaq-listed Brightpoint Inc. to distribute cellphones
and accessories in China.
n
ALPNET Inc., a Nasdaq-listed international translation
and localization services company, was recently contracted by
Oracle China to localize its enterprise automation suites,
Oracle Applications Release ii, for the Chinese market. The
multi-million word project is expected to be completed in the
second quarter of this year. The work will be performed out
of ALPNET's production centre in Shenzhen, China by an in-house
team of 24 translators, editors and engineers.
n
Microsoft recently announced it will provide its Internet
Explorer browser and other technology to Hong Kong-based China
Telecom (CT), which is controlled by China's Ministry of
Posts and Telecommunications. CT will develop its own version
of Internet Explorer. Other Microsoft software, technology and
training will also be provided to CT.
TRANSPORT
ATION, Travel, tourism and leisure
Sometime
this year, the Canadian Consulate General's office in Shanghai
will begin accepting applications for visitor visas from Chinese
citizens, reducing the workload of the Canadian Embassy in Beijing,
which is currently the only place in China that issues Canadian
visas.
n
Responding to increased demand, Air China announced that
beginning April 3, 1998, it will double the number of its flights
between Vancouver and Beijing-Shanghai to twice a week ?on
Monday and Friday. According to reports, the number of passengers
to China and Taiwan by Canadian International Airlines
(CIL), which flies to Beijing five days a week, has increased
8% so far this year from the same period last year. CIL is also
planning to start a new direct route from Vancouver to Shanghai
sometime this year.
n
Under a 1997 agreement between China and Japan, Japan's airlines
will open new routes and offer more flights on existing routes
to China by 70% as of April 1998. Japan Air System will
provide five more flights a week while Japan Airline
and All Nippon will each provide three more flights.
Nippon Cargo Airlines will offer the route for the first
time with one flight a week.
n
While suspending some flights to Southeast Asia, Qantas
recently increased flights to China by adding two weekly Boeing
767 flights from Brisbane to China ?one to Shanghai and one
to Beijing.
n
Target AirFreight Inc ., a unit of Nasdaq-listed Amertranz
Worldwide Holding Corp., has recently been granted a Class-A
license by the Chinese government to operate a variety of freight
forwarding operations in China for its joint venture Target
International Freight. The operations will initially be
carried out in Tangshan, Beijing and Tianjin. Meanwhile, Danzas
Holding AG, a Swiss transport and distribution company,
also obtained the same Class-A license to offer freight services
in China without using the help of local transporters, as was
previously necessary. In 1997, Danzas handled more than 10,000
shipments to and from China.
n
Lockheed Martin Air Traffic Management of the U.S. won
a contract from the Civil Aviation Administration of China
(CAAC) to install air traffic control systems at Hongqiao International
Airport and the new Pudong International Airport, both in Shanghai.
The interconnected systems are based on Lockheed's microprocessor-based
Enroute Automated Radar Tracking System terminal software and
flight data processing as well as CAAC-unique functions. Lockheed
is also planning to bid on three CAAC-offered Area Control Centre
contracts in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou within the first
half of 1998 with a total contract value of US$100 million.
n
Universal Studios, a unit of Canada's Seagram Company,
will open its first trial project in China this summer. The
20,000 sq. ft theme park Universal Studios Experience
will be located in a 800,000 sq. ft. shopping mall, which itself
is located in the Beijing Henderson Centre, a new mixed-use
retail/high-rise office/condominium complex built by Universal's
strategic partner Henderson China Investments of Hong
Kong.
n
Visitors arriving in China numbered 57.6 million in 1997, an
increase of 12.6% over the previous year. Of the total,
47.9 million came from Hong Kong and Macau and 2.1 million from
Taiwan. The number of foreigners originating from the following
countries are listed: Japan (1.582 million); Russia (814,000);
Korea (781,000); U.S. (616,000); Malaysia (361,000); Mongolia
(343,000); Singapore (317,000); Philippines (277,000); U.K.
(228,000); Germany (185,000); and Canada (174,000).
deloitte
& touche in china related activities / projects
The
recent 1998 Vision in Manufacturing Study, a survey
conducted every three years by Deloitte & Touche and Deloitte
Consulting in collaboration with the Kenan-Flagler Business School
of the University of North Carolina, made several remarkable findings
relating to China:
-
China
is the target of over 45% of manufacturers worldwide, lead
by the high-tech and pharmaceutical sectors, with over 57%
planning to expand in China.
-
China
is the destination of choice in the emerging markets.
By 2020, China will command 65% of global GDP.
- China's
pharmaceutical market is expected to grow 15-20% in the coming
years compared to 7-9% in the U.S. and Europe.
The study
results were based on data collected from more than 3,000 top
manufacturing executives in industrialized and emerging markets
of 35 countries. The study was an integrated campaign that included
screensaver teasers, direct mail targeting, advertising, a special
web site, briefings, one-on-one meetings with clients and prospects,
and a global summit.
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Chinese
Business Sector - Contacts
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Canadian
Greater Chinese Practice Offices:
Toronto
Deloitte & Touche
181 Bay Street
BCE Place, Wellington Tower,
Suite
1400
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Hong
Kong
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On Centre, 26th Floor
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Connaught Road Central
Hong
Kong
Tel.
(852) 2852-0303
Fax (852) 2541-1911
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Loretta
Yuen, Tel: (416) 601-6222
Advisory
Board
Graham
Baragwanath
Frank
Brown
Hugh Miller
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Toronto,
Ontario M5J 2V1
Tel. (416) 601-6150
Fax (416) 601-6151
Frank Brown
Vancouver
Deloitte
& Touche
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Dunsmuir Street, #2000
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Cheng/Ted Lee
Taiwan
Deloitte & Touche
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102, Kuang Fu South Road
Taipei, Taiwan
Republic of China
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Seymour
Temkin
Joseph
Tse
Brent Wyatt
This
publication is issued regularly by the Canada-China Business
Group in Toronto with information extracted from the
following sources: China Economic News; China Economic
Review; Hong Kong Economic Journal; Wall Street Journal;
Asian Wall Street Journal; The Financial Post; Globe &
Mail; Toronto Star; Far Eastern Economic Review; South China
Morning Post; Ming Pao Daily News of Toronto; Sing Tao Daily;
World Journal; Canadian Business; The China Daily; Canada-China
Business Forum; Hong Kong Trader; AP Business; Dow Jones
News and Bloomberg News. We believe the sources of
information to be reliable, but we cannot represent that
they are complete or accurate and we accept no responsibility
for any errors this publication may contain, whether caused
by negligence or otherwise, or for any losses, however caused,
sustained by any person that relies on it.
1998
Deloitte & Touche.
Printed in Canada. 9802
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British Columbia V7X 1P4
Tel. (604) 669-4466
Fax (604) 669-4434
Gary Nott
International
Offices
China
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu China Head Office
Wing On Centre, 22nd Floor
111 Connaught Road Central
Hong Kong
Tel. (852) 2852-6318
Fax (852) 2542-4225
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Deloitte
Touche Tohmatsu Shanghai CPA
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99 Huangpu Road
Shanghai 200080
People's Republic of China
Tel. 86 (21) 6393-6292
Fax 86 (21) 6393-6290 / 6393-6291
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Deloitte
Touche Tohmatsu
Beijing Representative Office
6th Floor, Tower A
COFCO Plaza
8 Jianguomennei Dajie
Beijing 100005
People's
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Tel.
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886 (2) 741-0258
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